Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.028225 0.030427 0.032632 0.035005 0.037481 0.039986 0.042709
2025-10-05 0.024544 0.028063 0.031712 0.035764 0.040121 0.044651 0.049705
2025-10-12 0.021834 0.026119 0.030679 0.035860 0.041550 0.047579 0.054420
2025-10-19 0.019657 0.024468 0.029705 0.035770 0.042548 0.049838 0.058223
2025-10-26 0.018341 0.023627 0.029489 0.036389 0.044208 0.052721 0.062617
2025-11-02 0.017000 0.022635 0.029000 0.036605 0.045335 0.054943 0.066219
2025-11-09 0.015722 0.021621 0.028402 0.036620 0.046168 0.056782 0.069346
2025-11-16 0.014612 0.020732 0.027884 0.036668 0.046987 0.058562 0.072371
2025-11-23 0.013520 0.019794 0.027250 0.036527 0.047542 0.060006 0.074983
2025-11-30 0.012565 0.018970 0.026705 0.036449 0.048134 0.061461 0.077584
2025-12-07 0.011485 0.017926 0.025840 0.035941 0.048179 0.062253 0.079395
2025-12-14 0.010481 0.016925 0.024982 0.035398 0.048146 0.062924 0.081041
2025-12-21 0.009260 0.015604 0.023706 0.034345 0.047524 0.062943 0.081991
2025-12-28 0.008893 0.015424 0.023884 0.035106 0.049117 0.065607 0.086075
2026-01-04 0.008286 0.014873 0.023552 0.035202 0.049876 0.067266 0.088968
2026-01-11 0.007656 0.014251 0.023095 0.035113 0.050388 0.068612 0.091479
2026-01-18 0.007338 0.014057 0.023193 0.035724 0.051762 0.070994 0.095224
2026-01-25 0.006899 0.013660 0.022997 0.035938 0.052626 0.072751 0.098219
2026-02-01 0.006424 0.013178 0.022663 0.035953 0.053227 0.074178 0.100812
2026-02-08 0.005993 0.012738 0.022366 0.036000 0.053856 0.075632 0.103432
2026-02-15 0.005533 0.012223 0.021943 0.035861 0.054232 0.076765 0.105658
2026-02-22 0.005124 0.011764 0.021578 0.035784 0.054676 0.077973 0.107968
2026-03-01 0.004622 0.011117 0.020916 0.035281 0.054551 0.078462 0.109392